For Healthcare Plans & Risk-Bearing Provider Groups
Three cost-avoidance levers. One platform. Audit-tagged on every recommendation.
Inappropriate-referral prevention, operational care continuity, and decision defensibility — built for healthcare plans and risk-bearing provider groups. AI surfaces guideline-concordant recommendations clinicians can act on immediately, reducing patient wait times and protecting provider licensure through documented, audit-tagged decision support. Every recommendation logged with source, version, and timestamp.
Downstream risk reduction — including avoided ER visits and preventable hospitalizations — is not yet quantified but directionally supported by operating data.
Each module deploys independently and integrates with your existing tech stack — or with Alma's other modules. Adopt the Referral Review Engine for immediate cost-avoidance impact, or all six modules for closed-loop accountability across the patient journey.
The financial case
Modeled cost avoided — decomposed by category.
Two tables. The first is the conservative specialist-only floor. The second is the full external-orders opportunity — specialist referrals, imaging, and ancillary orders, all reviewed by the engine via workup-verification gates.
Specialist referral baseline.
Specialist referrals only. 40% total-avoided rate × $1,200 (all-in: visit + imaging + workup + leakage) per episode.
Panel size
Referrals/month
Net avoided (40%)
Annual savings
5 PCPs (~10K patients)
200
80
$1.16M
10 PCPs (~20K patients)
400
160
$2.31M
25 PCPs (~50K patients)
1,000
400
$5.76M
50 PCPs (~100K patients)
2,000
800
$11.6M
100 PCPs (~200K patients)
4,000
1,600
$23.1M
40 specialty referrals/PCP/month (320 visits × 12.5% specialty referral rate) × 40% total-avoided rate × $1,200 (all-in) cost per episode = $19,200/PCP/month. Cost-per-episode anchor consistent with peer-reviewed eConsult cost-savings literature: Anderson et al., AJMC 2018 ($655 cost reduction per avoided face-to-face cardiology consult); Anderson et al., Health Affairs 2019 ($82/patient/month specialty episode reduction).
Total external orders — specialist + imaging + ancillary.
All three categories reviewed by the engine via workup-verification gates. Category-specific cost anchors.
Panel size
Orders/month
Avoided (40%)
Annual savings
5 PCPs (~10K patients)
350
140
$1.43M
10 PCPs (~20K patients)
700
280
$2.86M
25 PCPs (~50K patients)
1,750
700
$7.14M
50 PCPs (~100K patients)
3,500
1,400
$14.3M
100 PCPs (~200K patients)
7,000
2,800
$28.6M
Decomposed at 40% total-avoided rate (validated production data): specialist refs (40 × 40% × $1,200 all-in) = $19,200/PCP/month + imaging (20 × 40% × $500 direct cost only, client-supplied) = $4,000/PCP/month + ancillary (10 × 40% × $150) = $600/PCP/month = $23,800/PCP/month combined. Imaging and ancillary cost anchors via Medicare PFS reference.
Note on what this model excludes
This model excludes the internal operational savings the engine generates — coordinator time recovered from chasing specialist notes, eliminated rework on incomplete referrals, and the HEDIS gap-closure opportunities recovered when the patient stays in primary care rather than being routed to a specialist. These are real and material; we exclude them to keep the financial case anchored to externally observable cost categories. Internal-savings modeling is available under NDA.
Anchored evidence base: Anderson et al., American Journal of Managed Care, 2018 (PMID 29350511). Anderson et al., Health Affairs, 2019. Forrest, Reasons for Outpatient Referrals from Generalists to Specialists (~30% of referrals possibly appropriate or inappropriate). Albini et al. (37% of referral forms classified inappropriate). Kaul et al., AJMC, 2016 (52% of US PCPs reported making unnecessary referrals on patient request).